Publications:
- The Effect of Bank Recapitalization Policy on Credit Allocation, Investment, and Productivity: Evidence from a Banking Crisis in Japan (August 2023), with Yasuyuki Sawada and Michio Suzuki, Journal of Banking and Finance, forthcoming.
- Identification of Regression Models with a Misclassified and Endogenous Binary Regressor, with Katsumi Shimotsu, Econometric Theory, December 2022, pp. 1117 – 1139.
- The Association of Opening K-12 Schools with the Spread of COVID-19 in the United States: County-Level Panel Data Analysis, with Victor Chernozhukov and Paul Schrimpf, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021, 118 (42).
GitHub repo
reply-to-referee
VoxEU, Medical News, INET - Heterogeneous Effects of COVID-19 on Labor Markets: People’s Movement and Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions, with Kisho Hoshi, Ryo Makioka, Michio Suzuki, and Satoshi Tanaka, Journal of The Japanese International Economies, March 2022, 63, 101170.
- Trade-off between job losses and the spread of COVID-19 in Japan, with Kisho Hoshi, Ryo Makioka, Michio Suzuki, and Satoshi Tanaka, Japanese Economic Review, 2021, 72, 683–716.
- Causal impact of masks, policies, behavior on early covid-19 pandemic in the U.S., with Victor Chernozhukov and Paul Schrimpf, Journal of Econometrics, 2020, 220(1), 23-26.
- Grain exports and the causes of China’s Great Famine, 1959–1961: County-level evidence, with Bingjing Li, Journal of Development Economics, 2020, 146, 102513.
- Excessive Entry and Exit in Export Markets, with Heiwai Tang, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2019.
- Asymptotic Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator in Regime Switching Econometric Models, with Katsumi Shimotsu, Journal of Econometrics, 2019, 208(2), 442-467.
- Estimation of Discrete Choice Dynamic Programming Models, with Katsumi Shimotsu, Japanese Economic Review, March 2018, 69, 28-58.
- Does Importing Intermediates Increase the Demand for Skilled Workers? Plant-level Evidence from Indonesia with Joel Rodrigue and Yawen Liang. Journal of International Economics, 2016, 102, 242-261.(Supplemental Appendix)
- Testing the Number of Components in Normal Mixture Regression Models with Katsumi Shimotsu. Journal of the American Statistical Association (Theory and Methods), 2015, 110, 1632-1645. (Supplemental Appendix)
- Nonparametric Identification and Estimation of the Number of Components in Multivariate Mixtures with Katsumi Shimotsu, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series B, 2014, 76(1), 97-111. (Supplemental Appendix)
- Does an R&D Tax Credit Affect R&D Expenditure? The Japanese R&D Tax Credit Reform in 2003 with Katsumi Shimotsu and Michio Suzuki, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2014, 31, 72-97.
- Modified Quasi-Likelihood Ratio Test for Regime Switching with Tatsuyoshi Okimoto and Katsumi Shimotsu, Japanese Economic Review, 2014, 65(1), 25-41.
- Productivity and the Decision to Import and Export: Theory and Evidence with Beverly Lapham, Journal of International Economics, 2013, 89(2), 297-316. [One of the most highly cited papers during 2014, 2015 and up until June 2016 in the Journal of International Economics.] [2008 Dinstinguished CESifo Affiliate Award in Global Economy]
- “Sequential Estimation of Structural Models with a Fixed Point Constraint,” with Katsumi Shimotsu, Econometrica, 80(5), 2012, 2303-2319. (Supplemental Appendix)
- “Temporary Increases in Tariffs and Investment: The Chilean Case,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 27(1), 2009, 113-127.
- “Nonparametric Identification of Finite Mixture Models of Dynamic Discrete Choices,” with Katsumi Shimotsu, Econometrica, 77(1), 2009, 135-175. (Errata)
- “Does the Use of Imported Intermediates Increase Productivity? Plant-level Evidence,” with Joel Rodrigue, Journal of Development Economics 87(1), 2008, 106-118. (Supplemental Appendix)
- “Pseudo-likelihood Estimation and Bootstrap Inference for Structural Discrete Markov Decision Models,” with Katsumi Shimotsu, Journal of Econometrics, 146(1), 2008, 92-106. [Winner of the 2010 Arnold Zellner Award for the most significant theoretical paper published in the Journal of Econometrics] (Supplemental Appendix)
Working Papers:
- Testing the Number of Components in Finite Mixture Normal Regression Model with Panel Data (May 2023), with Yu Hao, revision requested from Quantitative Economics.
- The Effect of Prenatal Exposure to the Great Chinese Famine on Mortality and Education: A Sibling Fixed Effects Approach (June 2023) with Weina Zhou
- Identification and Estimation of Production Function with Unobserved Heterogeneity (April 2023) with Paul Schrimpf and Michio Suzuki
- Nonparametric Identification of Production Function, Total Factor Productivity, and Markup from Revenue Data (October 2020), with Yoichi Sugita.
- Testing the Order of Multivariate Normal Mixture Models (February 2019), with Katsumi Shimotsu.
- Testing the Number of Regimes in Markov Regime Switching Models (January 2018), with Katsumi Shimotsu.
- Testing the Number of Components in Finite Mixture Models (October 2012), with Katsumi Shimotsu.
- Sequential Estimation of Dynamic Programming Models (October 2011), with Katsumi Shimotsu.
- Technology Adoption Under Relative Factor Price Uncertainty: The Putty-Clay Investment Model.
Presentation Slides:
- Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions, Teleworkability, and Involuntary Job Separations (October 2020), with Kisho Hoshi, Ryo Makioka, Michio Suzuki, and Satoshi Tanaka.
- Identification and Estimation of Production Function with Unobserved Heterogeneity (July 2020), with Paul Schrimpf and Michio Suzuki